May 2025 Stock Competition Entries!

[Rypieee]

What a nice little surprise today, checking back into ASF I wouldn't put so much emphasis on my stock picking ability however, owe a lot more to both, Lady Luck, and Mr. Time.

Will roll APX forward for the June competition, but this time on technical analysis

Pattern/signal is a volatility compression pattern, following the run up into the AGM. Stock now on the radar of institutional investors/reclaiming the spotlight - more eyes on the stock = more impending buy orders coming. Had about 1-2 weeks for the market to absorb the short term sellers (post-rally in price). Have held up significantly well on abating volume since, allowing its order book to tighten up once again.

The white dots are what i think price trend will be. A dog's sketch of this would also hold equal weighting in guessing price trajectory, however.

If we net a $1.20 entry for June, with a 1 month timeframe, and a $1.80 resistance level from the 200d MA, that's about 50%? Not bad.

Fundamentally, story is unchanged from the last time i spoke about it. If anything, slight reinforcement from NVDA's quarter result 2 nights ago - affirming Chinese AI firms and chip manufacturer doing fine without US chips. Strong Chinese AI market = Strong APX pipeline of work. No further catalyst expected until - possibly late July, if company issue out profit upgrade. Otherwise, August reporting season.

-End of APX-


If i can do a non ASX-listed stock, I would like to submit Hasbro Inc. instead Been working on this investment thesis for the last week or so. Report is attached to this post

 

[IvoryWolf]

Wow, what a finish! All came down to the CSPA at the end of the day... incredible!

But @Joe Blow , I have to disagree with the final standings. @Miner should be in #2 position ahead of me and I should be in #3 position instead since KAI had a closing price of $0.0255, not $0.025. That would give Miner a 27.5% 'change in %' rather than the recorded 25.0% that is listed in the competition standings (0.0255 / 0.02 = 1.275):



Regardless, amazing race for the top 3 positions, it was nail biting... cheers!

 

[Joe Blow]

Wow, what a finish! All came down to the CSPA at the end of the day... incredible!

But @Joe Blow , I have to disagree with the final standings. @Miner should be in #2 position ahead of me and I should be in #3 position instead since KAI had a closing price of $0.0255, not $0.025. That would give Miner a 27.5% 'change in %' rather than the recorded 25.0% that is listed in the competition standings (0.0255 / 0.02 = 1.275):

View attachment 200500

Regardless, amazing race for the top 3 positions, it was nail biting... cheers!

We have a Steward's Inquiry regarding the May competition. Can you direct me to an official closing price for KAI on a reliable website? I'm seeing a closing price of $0.025 in several places.

 

[Dona Ferentes]

We have a Steward's Inquiry regarding the May competition. Can you direct me to an official closing price for KAI on a reliable website? I'm seeing a closing price of $0.025 in several places.

commsec tonight


...
but CXA

 

[Joe Blow]

I guess the supplied data must only use ASX data. I suppose CXA data is acceptable. Let me see if I can update the table manually.

 

[Joe Blow]

Something has come up. I'm going to have to leave this until tomorrow. Sorry all.

 

[IvoryWolf]

Something has come up. I'm going to have to leave this until tomorrow. Sorry all.

No problems at all, feel free to take your time - agreed with @Dona Ferentes's comment above with the attached screenshots. The CXA trade, as small as it is, did influence the closing price and @Miner is worthy of the second place for the month accordingly.

 

[Dona Ferentes]

No problems at all, feel free to take your time - agreed with @Dona Ferentes's comment above with the attached screenshots. The CXA trade, as small as it is, did influence the closing price and @Miner is worthy of the second place for the month accordingly.

could always split it

(50 + 25) / 2 = 37.50 each

call it a tie

 

[farmerge]

I too add my congratulations to the three worthy winners, @Rypieee, @Miner and @Acess of the May Competition.
Way too good for the majority of us.

 

[farmerge]

Fourth @embryo and fifth @IvoryWolf in the May Comp, so close but so far away. Sad.

 

[farmerge]

And now to the luckless @TimeISmoney, just scrapped into the dungeon by a whisker.
So for the duration of your incarceration in said room of doom, the near on useless feather duster awaits for the required cleaning duties.
Seating arrangement is next to pathetic and the reading material unfortunately seems to have been made into rats nests.
The supply of gut rot red has been exhausted and not replenished.
The Certificate of do Better Next Month will be delivered by carrier pidgeon, only if it can find its way to you.

 

[farmerge]

@TimeISmoney post #91 is of course said in complete jest and no malice is intended.

 

[Miner]

No problems at all, feel free to take your time - agreed with @Dona Ferentes's comment above with the attached screenshots. The CXA trade, as small as it is, did influence the closing price and @Miner is worthy of the second place for the month accordingly.

@IvoryWolf
First of all, congratulations - not just making an almost photo finish for May tipping but also for your excellent attitude towards fellow @Miner. That's a fantastic care for the fellow tipper.
To me, you have won the race for your awesome sporting behaviour.
Congratulations to @Rypieee for leading the top position pusshing the competitors mile below him.
Congratulations to you @IvoryWolf for such a close finish at the last day of race pushing @embryo and @access .
May tipping month was really entertaining after a long time.
I am happy with the position whatever it comes from @Joe Blow .
Cheers

 

[Rypieee]

Ivorywolf's 0.0255 is right.

 

[ShareSuccess]

Congrats to the Winners & congrats to everyone as a Team!.....+ 30.64% for the Month

 

[Joe Blow]

Congratulations to @Rypieee, @Miner, and @IvoryWolf for taking out the top three spots in the May 2025 stock tipping competition!

As discussed in the posts above from yesterday, KAI has had to have its final price changed from $0.025 to $0.0255 as a result of a final CXA trade at that price at 3:56:52pm yesterday afternoon. Changes cannot be made to the results table manually, or at least I can't manage to do it, so the change will just be made in the final results detailed below.

Rypieee finished in first place with an outstanding 50% return with APX. In second place was Miner who achieved an impressive 27.50% with KAI. Rounding out the top three for May was IvoryWolf who selected BOE, which returned a solid 25.24%.

Can @Rypieee, @Miner, and @IvoryWolf please contact me via PM regarding their prizes.

Best of luck to all in the June competition!

Here are the final results for May:

 

[divs4ever]

CONGRATULATIONS to @Rypieee

a nice win and good work

well done to @Miner and @IvoryWolf a great effort

a special mention to @embryo and @access who kept the pressure on for the placing , oh so close , better luck this month

only glares of jealousy to @TimeISmoney and @finicky i thought my pick was an easy negative 30% , and a very good chance of cellar honors ( and at least one more parcel of cheap YAL maybe two )

a bitter-sweet result for me i grabbed one parcel of YAL early on , more than 20 cents lower than the comp. start but then it started to recover pushing me into positive territory and 10th spot ( go figure !! )

but seriously , good fun everybody

and thanks to ASF staff/management and the sponsors for running the comp.

good luck everybody in the June 2025 comp.

 

[Miner]

Congratulations to @Rypieee, @Miner, and @IvoryWolf for taking out the top three spots in the May 2025 stock tipping competition!

As discussed in the posts above from yesterday, KAI has had to have its final price changed from $0.025 to $0.0255 as a result of a final CXA trade at that price at 3:56:52pm yesterday afternoon. Changes cannot be made to the results table manually, or at least I can't manage to do it, so the change will just be made in the final results detailed below.

Rypieee finished in first place with an outstanding 50% return with APX. In second place was Miner who achieved an impressive 27.50% with KAI. Rounding out the top three for May was IvoryWolf who selected BOE, which returned a solid 25.24%.

Can @Rypieee, @Miner, and @IvoryWolf please contact me via PM regarding their prizes.

Best of luck to all in the June competition!

Here are the final results for May:

View attachment 200595

Hello


My hearty congratulations to @Rypieee for a mile ahead win leaving four of us @IvoryWolf @Miner @embryo and @access to make a close finish.
The gap between IvoryWolf and Miner, as well as the gap between embryo and access, is like a photo finish. We all deserve to pat our backs—my special thanks to the excellent sporting spirit that backed me for second place. I hope we will take his spirit to make this competition healthy.

Finally, thank you, Sir @Joe Blow, for organising this event and making all participants and non-participants complete joy every month.

Regarding the prize money, like my previous wins, it is the fun I can not return, but please keep the prize money from me as a thank you. It is a priceless service from you without any payment from me.

Hope (Or should I say, I wish ) to win the June competition and let you keep my prize money again

 

[Garpal Gumnut]

Well done all in the top 3 spots.

What a photo finish for 2nd/3rd. Was it a particle or was it a wave ?

gg

 

[farmerge]

In this the current June comp it would appear that @divs4ever has dropped his guard and let the Good Cap't arise off the bottom shelf.