Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Reply to thread

What I can say


Is that the mkt was fully extended

Because it had used up all it's potential


In going sideways at the top

It was building more potential


Potential in Wyckoff terms is called Cause ( that will lead to an effect )

And is produced by the "work" in a trading range


measured in the swings of the CM ( composite man ) not time..


eg the speed of activity ( the amount of work ) in one bar on a daily bar chart

is significant greater at the present time...


Bar charts are effort Vs result charts ( the work is measured in periods of time. effort = volume , result =  price movement )


P&F are cause and effect charts ( price is scaled Vs swings )


They highlight congestion and measure ranges ..


All charts have the same width measured in time

But different width measured in swings


other ways to measure swings but P&F have distinctive scaling and trending properties and highlight particularly  areas of congestion...


Where do We measure cause from ?


Here Preliminary supply (~22feb )and ending action (~9may)


Give two downside objectives


5700 (coincides with 50% halfway point retrace from previous stepping stone)


4800 ( absolute objective only comes into the picture if there is no ending action in the vicinity of 5700 or a stepping stone is built at that level )


5700 takes the action back to the main trend line...



Objectives are points of stop look and listen


areas of anticipation only :)


Those Who have downloaded some of the Wyckoff papers might like to look at the brief allusion to the the "ICE STORY"

and the "nine selling tests"


5700 looks very doable


Watch the following in the waves as they unfold


Following is gauged by stride and volume which together reveal an ease of movement.


Watch for Change of behaviour in those waves esp the down waves..


anticaption is not predicition :)




motorway


Top