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Take more water out of the dam than the annual inflow and I can tell you with 100% certainty that it will run dry.


No chance I'll get the exact date right too far in advance though since even though the situation is known to be unsustainable, there's still unknowns with short term weather patterns and so on.


Same with anything financial. Eg the pandemic will have brought unstuck quite a lot of things that were doomed anyway but would have carried on for some years yet had it (the pandemic) not occurred.


There's always going to be those short term influences that making the timing hard to predict even if the underlying situation is readily apparent.


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