Normal
the challenge i find, largest, is reading the context of some moves to tell me if there is a decent shift is at hand, typically the lens is volatitility thru options, as a first hint, that in the immediate session ahead traders "seeing" and adjusting to liquidity needs, meanwhile there is a fundamental shakeup in commodities going on, while many(i included) expected more of the same in deflationary terms, there is clearly a buy-side liquidity move into commodities, there is clearly an uptick in equity/index volatility, typical expanding price with, typically catching most players in a dream-state of old price swings....typically i get caught in a cupla traps and snap out of my dream-state to ask the correct questions about how liquidity is travelling and refocus on what needs to be done......generally speaking ....at the same time, as i've placed in this thread, retail has had an extreme sell bias seen thru the cfd lens in the region of 80 to 90% sell positions, so did i expect the swings to be wider, yup, do retail get trapped selling way too early, yep, buying rebounds way too late, yup...context and relative size ....everyone gets comfortable to some extent in yesterdays context and relative price sizesand sometimes i get lost on the etiquette of chat sites
the challenge i find, largest, is reading the context of some moves to tell me if there is a decent shift is at hand, typically the lens is volatitility thru options, as a first hint, that in the immediate session ahead traders "seeing" and adjusting to liquidity needs, meanwhile there is a fundamental shakeup in commodities going on, while many(i included) expected more of the same in deflationary terms, there is clearly a buy-side liquidity move into commodities, there is clearly an uptick in equity/index volatility, typical expanding price with, typically catching most players in a dream-state of old price swings....typically i get caught in a cupla traps and snap out of my dream-state to ask the correct questions about how liquidity is travelling and refocus on what needs to be done......generally speaking ....at the same time, as i've placed in this thread, retail has had an extreme sell bias seen thru the cfd lens in the region of 80 to 90% sell positions, so did i expect the swings to be wider, yup, do retail get trapped selling way too early, yep, buying rebounds way too late, yup...
context and relative size ....everyone gets comfortable to some extent in yesterdays context and relative price sizes
and sometimes i get lost on the etiquette of chat sites
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