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For next week:

[ATTACH=full]172916[/ATTACH][ATTACH=full]172915[/ATTACH]

Leverage high.

[ATTACH=full]172912[/ATTACH][ATTACH=full]172911[/ATTACH][ATTACH=full]172910[/ATTACH][ATTACH=full]172909[/ATTACH][ATTACH=full]172907[/ATTACH][ATTACH=full]172906[/ATTACH]

LOL.

Ok, so morons aside, what is keeping the market high(er)?

Passive flows. What keeps passive flows lubricated? Employment. Employment falls, passive flows diminish and stocks feel the reduction. Do passive flows falling, move equities into reverse? Probably.

QE liquidity. Make no mistake liquidity injections far outweighs QT removal of liquidity. With the ending of BTFP the loosening of the Fed Window has already been implemented allowing all banks to sip at the trough.

The issue here is not the banking system, but rather the shadow banking system being bailed out if they suffer a liquidity event. The shadow banking system is really opaque. It is magnitudes larger than most realise and will be a real issue if it blows up.

Then we have outright QE with the proposed ISDA SLR relaxation.

Oil needs to come back down and sit in the $70 range. Can't go too low, the shale industry blows up, can't go too high, the UST and USD markets blow up. Has to be just right.

Part of the problem monitoring all of this is that the data, CPI, payrolls, etc are all corrupted and pretty much useless. The markets themselves are now lagging indicators, and provide no hints.

When shite eventually hits the fan, the markets will be surprised from a high level, probably higher than we are today. Which means that value as a support is that much lower. By that time momo will blow through those support levels anyway.

Lower rates are not the salvation, they will be the problem this time.

What will arrest the fall?

This is where we will find out if BTC will provide the protection that it has touted.

jog on
duc

<blockquote data-quote="ducati916" data-source="post: 1270479" data-attributes="member: 2975">For next week:[ATTACH=full]172916[/ATTACH][ATTACH=full]172915[/ATTACH]Leverage high.[ATTACH=full]172912[/ATTACH][ATTACH=full]172911[/ATTACH][ATTACH=full]172910[/ATTACH][ATTACH=full]172909[/ATTACH][ATTACH=full]172907[/ATTACH][ATTACH=full]172906[/ATTACH]LOL.Ok, so morons aside, what is keeping the market high(er)?Passive flows. What keeps passive flows lubricated? Employment. Employment falls, passive flows diminish and stocks feel the reduction. Do passive flows falling, move equities into reverse? Probably.QE liquidity. Make no mistake liquidity injections far outweighs QT removal of liquidity. With the ending of BTFP the loosening of the Fed Window has already been implemented allowing all banks to sip at the trough.The issue here is not the banking system, but rather the shadow banking system being bailed out if they suffer a liquidity event. The shadow banking system is really opaque. It is magnitudes larger than most realise and will be a real issue if it blows up.Then we have outright QE with the proposed ISDA SLR relaxation.Oil needs to come back down and sit in the $70 range. Can&#039;t go too low, the shale industry blows up, can&#039;t go too high, the UST and USD markets blow up. Has to be just right.Part of the problem monitoring all of this is that the data, CPI, payrolls, etc are all corrupted and pretty much useless. The markets themselves are now lagging indicators, and provide no hints.When shite eventually hits the fan, the markets will be surprised from a high level, probably higher than we are today. Which means that value as a support is that much lower. By that time momo will blow through those support levels anyway.Lower rates are not the salvation, they will be the problem this time.What will arrest the fall?This is where we will find out if BTC will provide the protection that it has touted.jog onduc</blockquote>

[QUOTE="ducati916, post: 1270479, member: 2975"] For next week: [ATTACH type="full"]172916[/ATTACH][ATTACH type="full"]172915[/ATTACH] Leverage high. [ATTACH type="full"]172912[/ATTACH][ATTACH type="full"]172911[/ATTACH][ATTACH type="full"]172910[/ATTACH][ATTACH type="full"]172909[/ATTACH][ATTACH type="full"]172907[/ATTACH][ATTACH type="full"]172906[/ATTACH] LOL. Ok, so morons aside, what is keeping the market high(er)? Passive flows. What keeps passive flows lubricated? Employment. Employment falls, passive flows diminish and stocks feel the reduction. Do passive flows falling, move equities into reverse? Probably. QE liquidity. Make no mistake liquidity injections far outweighs QT removal of liquidity. With the ending of BTFP the loosening of the Fed Window has already been implemented allowing all banks to sip at the trough. The issue here is not the banking system, but rather the shadow banking system being bailed out if they suffer a liquidity event. The shadow banking system is really opaque. It is magnitudes larger than most realise and will be a real issue if it blows up. Then we have outright QE with the proposed ISDA SLR relaxation. Oil needs to come back down and sit in the $70 range. Can't go too low, the shale industry blows up, can't go too high, the UST and USD markets blow up. Has to be just right. Part of the problem monitoring all of this is that the data, CPI, payrolls, etc are all corrupted and pretty much useless. The markets themselves are now lagging indicators, and provide no hints. When shite eventually hits the fan, the markets will be surprised from a high level, probably higher than we are today. Which means that value as a support is that much lower. By that time momo will blow through those support levels anyway. Lower rates are not the salvation, they will be the problem this time. What will arrest the fall? This is where we will find out if BTC will provide the protection that it has touted. jog on duc [/QUOTE]

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