Normal
I would say daily 1-2 on average in about 2 months there has been 224 bets. So maybe 3-4 daily.Yeah that is what I thought too. This sounds crazy but sometimes when I am bored I look at lines in the everyday environment and apply basic support and resistance trendlines....It seems to work there too.Anyway looking as a contrarian indicator even with bookie spread the opposite strategy to what I am using would be crushing it. The thesis is Bookie odds implied probability> My Estimated implied probability therefore value to bet.1) Perhaps the market knows better and that is why the discount is there and it is better to follow the market.2) Just variance and or there is no edge
I would say daily 1-2 on average in about 2 months there has been 224 bets. So maybe 3-4 daily.
Yeah that is what I thought too. This sounds crazy but sometimes when I am bored I look at lines in the everyday environment and apply basic support and resistance trendlines....
It seems to work there too.
Anyway looking as a contrarian indicator even with bookie spread the opposite strategy to what I am using would be crushing it. The thesis is Bookie odds implied probability> My Estimated implied probability therefore value to bet.
1) Perhaps the market knows better and that is why the discount is there and it is better to follow the market.
2) Just variance and or there is no edge
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