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My portfolio, which appears under Fundamental II is assessed as follows;


Analytical model utilized

Fundamental analysis (Value & Cash-Flow)


Quantification of risk model

Deterministic. (My testing extends from 1901 to present day, and includes 3,432 securities analyzed) *note...these are not 3,432 INDIVIDUAL securities, they are often the same security, at different points in its listed history, there have been many that have been delisted, merged, etc. This survivorship bias is overcome, as they have been done by hand from individual records, and are not extrapolated forward in time.

When I add a further 6000 examples, then it will just qualify as a STATISTICAL model


Risk management model

Diversification (micro, macro, geographic, strategies, asset class allocation)

*proprietary*

VAR


Components of risk assumed

Slippage

Market risk


Systemic risk assumed

Exchange rate

Political


Systemic risk allowed for

Inflation

Interest rates

Information flow (in regards to earnings surprises that are negative)


Non-systemic risk allowed for

Psychological risk


jog on

d998


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