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MARKETS

  • S&P 500 higher, closed at the midpoint of session ranges
  • S&P 500 and Nasdaq capped off a third-straight week of gains
  • Russell 2000 marked its second-best weekly performance of the year
  • All US sectors finished higher last week, led by cyclicals and semiconductors
  • Oil prices rally 4.4% but still finished the week down 1.6%
  • Bullish focus points for the week: Easing financial conditions with Goldman Sachs US Financial Conditions Index down ~25 bps in the first four days of last week, disinflation momentum after cooler-than-expected CPI and PPI prints, market repricing for more rate cuts in 2024, no geopolitical-related escalation and more China policy support
  • Bearish focus points for the week: More scrutiny around bad news is good news dynamic, Walmart more cautious on the consumer, another premature dovish pivot
  • US bond markets functioning well despite increased volatility (Reuters)
  • Small caps have had notable recent strength but companies remains vulnerable to high debt funding costs and risks of a downturn (Bloomberg)
  • Eurozone yields hit fresh two-month lows as markets price in 100 bps of rate cuts in 2024 (Reuters)
  • Oil falls to lowest since early July, adding pressure on OPEC+ to consider whether to extend output cuts (FT)

STOCKS

  • Gap earnings beat outshines bleak holiday-quarter sales forecast (Reuters)
  • Amazon has announces strategic partnership with Hyundai to sell cars online in the US at the beginning of 2024 (RetailWeek)
  • Intel jumps to 17-month high after Mizuho analyst upgrade (Reuters)

EARNINGS

US earnings season is coming to a close. Here’s how companies have performed:

  • Earnings growth rate for Q3 S&P 500 EPS currently sits at 4.3%, well-above the -0.3% expected at the start of earnings season
  • Revenue growth rate of 2.4%
  • Of the 94% of S&P 500 companies that have reported Q3 earnings, 82% have beaten consensus EPS expectations, above the one-year average of 74% and five-year average of 77%
  • 62% of beaten revenue expectations, both below the one-year average of 69% and the five-year average of 68%

CENTRAL BANKS

  • Fed's Barr flags hedge funds' risky trading practices (Bloomberg)
  • Fed Governor Cook wary of overly severe economic downturn (Bloomberg)
  • BoJ's Ueda weighs both sides of weak yen's impact (Bloomberg)
  • ECB's Villeroy says slowdown in inflation justifies rate-hike pause (Bloomberg)
  • ECB forecast to cut 100 bps in 2024 on weak economic outlook (Bloomberg)
  • BoE rate-setters push back against market rate cut bets (Bloomberg)
  • BOJ will debate easy-policy exit when inflation nears target (Reuters)

GEOPOLITICS

  • Biden says better US-China ties benefits world, acknowledges lingering economic tensions (Bloomberg)
  • Xi vows to ease investment barriers for foreign businsesses (Bloomberg)
  • EU Commission Chief urges states to begin economic de-risking from China (SCMP)
  • Iran told US it did not want Israel-Hamas war to escalate (FT)
  • China and Japan reaffirm 'strategic relationship' in rare leader talks (Reuters)

ECONOMY

  • UK retail sales unexpectedly decline (Bloomberg)
  • US housing starts rise moderately on tight housing supply (Reuters)
  • US expected to see record air-travel volumes for this Thanksgiving week (CNBC)

Industry ETFs

Mon 20 Nov 23, 8:23am (AEDT)

NameValue% Chg
Commodities

Strategic Metals58.81+4.03%
Lithium & Battery Tech49.41+2.36%
Uranium28.65+2.14%
Copper Miners34.04+1.34%
Steel67.8413+0.80%
Silver21.75-0.05%
Gold Miners28.43-0.63%
Industrials

Global Jets16.72+1.70%
Construction55.3+0.47%
Aerospace & Defense115.75+0.07%
Agriculture22.08-0.18%
Healthcare

Biotechnology118.1+0.91%
Cannabis5.4-1.10%
NameValue% Chg
Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin18.38+1.49%
Renewables

Hydrogen6.51+1.56%
CleanTech9.68+0.52%
Solar45.63+0.33%
Technology

Cloud Computing19.99+1.68%
E-commerce18.94+1.34%
Sports Betting/Gaming16.31+1.23%
FinTech21.04+1.20%
Cybersecurity25.53+1.11%
Electric Vehicles23.12+0.96%
Semiconductor515.61+0.70%
Robotics & AI25.85+0.66%
Video Games/eSports55.15+0.35%


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