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Australia's Monthly CPI Print

Hi! Hans here making a rare Wednesday appearance. We have an important inflation read out at 11:30 am AEDT –  The Monthly Inflation Indicator for October.

It's not an all-encompassing print but it has become a tool in the RBA's decision-making process around interest rates. Here is your preview:

  • Consensus forecast: 5.2% headline year-on-year, according to a Bloomberg survey
  • Highest forecast: Market Economics' Stephen Koukoulas at 5.5%.
  • Lowest forecast: HSBC's Paul Bloxham at 4.9%.
  • Inflation was at 5.6% in September

An upside surprise, even marginally, could add at least one more rate hike to the rates curve. Equally, a downside surprise ,even marginally, could reinforce the global disinflation narrative and send equities far north.

Key Events

ASX corporate actions occurring today:

  • Trading ex-div: Infratil (IFT) – $0.05, Graincorp (GNC) – $0.30, 360 Capital Mortgage REIT (TCF) – $0.03, Liberty Financial Group (LFG) – $0.12, Newmont Corp (NEM) – $0.42, KKR Credit Income Fund (KKC) – $0.01
  • Dividends paid: HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN) – $0.02, HealthCo Healthcare and Wellness REIT (HCW) – $0.02
  • Listing: None

Economic calendar (AEDT):

  • 11:30 am: Australia Construction Work (Q3)
  • 11:30 am: Australia Monthly CPI Indicator (Oct)
  • 12:00 am: Germany Inflation (Nov)
  • 12:30 am: US GDP (Q3)


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