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The issue is that the US has recorded a decline followed by a sideways consolidation and now a higher high in infection rates.


Still waiting to see a higher bottom but it's plausibly a breakout to the upside in COVID-19. Time will tell if it is or isn't but we're only days away from finding out realistically.


Death rates will follow infection rates with a time lag most likely. If infection rates turn up then, in the absence of a major improvement in treatment, so too will death rates. If infection rates don't turn up then no such concern. :2twocents


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