Trump 2.0

[Smurf1976]

It's all geared for conflict at the artic. We will find out as China powers on in the Antarctic. Or are we pretend they aren't mapping resources. It's a big reason Australia is in the danger zone as well.

They aren't drilling for oil etc since the treaty prohibits mineral exploration.

The treaty doesn't prohibit scientific research however and that being so, they're just doing research focusing on the geology of Antarctica, with a particular focus on the presence of hydrocarbons and metals.

That basically is exactly what the Russians officially said. Not drilling for oil, it's just scientific research - and oddly enough the research found oil.

 

[Dona Ferentes]

https://www.richmondfed.org/press_room/speeches/thomas_i_barkin/2025/barkin_speech_20250327

“One can debate the pros and cons of these policies over the medium term, but, in the near term, the pace of change seems to have created a sense of instability. Business optimism has dropped.

"Consumer sentiment has fallen. The March edition of the Fed’s Beige Book, which summarizes each Reserve Bank’s outreach on economic conditions, literally broke the record for mentions of “uncertainty.”.......

 

[basilio]

View attachment 196494

https://www.richmondfed.org/press_room/speeches/thomas_i_barkin/2025/barkin_speech_20250327

“One can debate the pros and cons of these policies over the medium term, but, in the near term, the pace of change seems to have created a sense of instability. Business optimism has dropped.

"Consumer sentiment has fallen. The March edition of the Fed’s Beige Book, which summarizes each Reserve Bank’s outreach on economic conditions, literally broke the record for mentions of “uncertainty.”.......

Get out of the market NOW and wait type of fog.

 

[mullokintyre]

Trump has really gone over the top this time.
He has suggested that he may seek a third term as president.

Apart from the fact that it is constitutionally impossible, the old bugger will be 82 at the end of his current term.
We all know what happened the last time someone of that age tried to run again!.
Mick

 

[Knobby22]

Trump has really gone over the top this time.
He has suggested that he may seek a third term as president.
View attachment 196522
Apart from the fact that it is constitutionally impossible, the old bugger will be 82 at the end of his current term.
We all know what happened the last time someone of that age tried to run again!.
Mick

It's lucky he will be 82 imo.

 

[moXJO]

Sounds like he's trolling media.

Wokies right now

 

[Knobby22]

Sounds like he's trolling media.

Wokies right now

Well I am 100% sure that he would win should this occur.

 

[moXJO]

Well I am 100% sure that he would win should this occur.

FDR had 4 terms. I think they changed it after him. Before that the presidents just left after 2 terms.

Trump would lose the election or get shot if he tried.

 

[Dona Ferentes]

FDR had 4 terms. I think they changed it after him. Before that the presidents just left after 2 terms.

served 3 full terms, won the Nov 1944 election (WW2) and died in office April 45.

 

[basilio]

Came across this writer recently. Sharp and in fact offers explanation of The New Right.
He is good.

How Brazil built a world-beating aircraft manufacturer
A guest post by Pedro Franco.
12 hrs ago•
Pedro Franco
144
17

March 2025​

The latest episode of Mad King Trump
How long before businesses get fed up?
Mar 30•
Noah Smith
630
159

Understanding America's New Right
Fighting for Western Civilization in someone else's back yard

Mar 28•
Noah Smith
472
245

If and when you live in a dictatorship, how will you know?
Trump's power is far from absolute, but he's always trying to see what he can get away with.
Mar 27•
Noah Smith
508
87

Blue states don't build. Red states do.
A timely repost, with some updates.
Mar 26•
Noah Smith
413
103

At least five interesting things: Japan Trip edition (#61)
Trump and Social Security; San Francisco corruption; Phones making us dumb; Ukraine and drones; Abundance stuff; Indian industrial policy; Steve Glinert…
Mar 24•
Noah Smith
286
90

The "corporate feudalism" thing won't work
Warrenite progressives are not going to catch populist fire by bashing corporations.

Mar 23•
Noah Smith
377
220

Dems need to moderate and fight
There's no contradiction there.
Mar 21•
Noah Smith
589
220

Book review: "Abundance"
In which Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson offer a whole new way of thinking about political economy.
Mar 19•
Noah Smith
714
188

I have written a book!
It's called "Weeb Economy". But so far it's only in Japanese.
Mar 18•
Noah Smith
214
35

It's time to start panicking about the national debt
Trump and the Republicans are trying to make things even worse.

Mar 17•
Noah Smith
423
141

China is trying to kneecap Indian manufacturing
An attempt to head off its only future rival.
Mar 14•
Noah Smith
397
43

Why America betrayed Europe
There are lots of reasons, actually.
Mar 12•
Noah Smith
631
155

There is no utopia waiting on the other side of Trump's economy
It's just pain now in exchange for more pain later.

Mar 11•
Noah Smith
547
226

This thing will fail
Trump will not restore the "strong gods" of community, family, and faith.
Mar 9•
Noah Smith
1,961
202

At least five interesting things: Bananas republic edition (#60)
Trump's chaos; GDP and government spending; DOGE; AI and growth; The baby bust
Mar 8•
Noah Smith
315
117

Trump takes a baseball bat to the U.S. economy
Destroying Americans' livelihoods and wealth to satisfy the whims of a crazy ideology.
Mar 7•
Noah Smith
830
183

Is China inventing big important things?
More thoughts on a great civilization at its peak.
Mar 5•
Noah Smith
340
99

A sovereign crypto fund is a new way to pay out regime cronies
Once again, we find that crypto's true innovation is enabling gray-market payments.

Mar 4•
Noah Smith
317
60

America is ruled by gangsters now
Three takeaways from Trump's disastrous meeting with Zelensky.

Mar 2•
Noah Smith
1,094
312

Archive - Noahpinion

Full archive of all the posts from Noahpinion.

www.noahpinion.blog

 

[basilio]

Noah Smith self sell

About - Noahpinion

Economics and other interesting stuff. Click to read Noahpinion, by Noah Smith, a Substack publication with hundreds of thousands of subscribers.

www.noahpinion.blog

 

[DB008]

Fake news and propaganda still in full swing in the USA

Here we go......

Reality....

 

[DB008]

But ABC and MSNBC and CNN all said Hunter Bidens laptop "had all the hallmarks of Russian disinfo".

Thread.....




.​

 

[DB008]

Belated Happy Birthday, Emily!

According to Pennsylvania’s voter data, Emily turned a whopping 128 years old on March 29th…
(For reference, the oldest living American is only 114.)

Looks like PA's voter rolls are aging gracefully...

But CNN said the 2020 Election was the most secure in history™

 

[qldfrog]

Tariffs table

 

[mullokintyre]

Someone has posted that they have worked out how the Trump regime came to some of the odd figures in the tariff set.
Mick

DID I CRACK IT?
I think I figured out at least a chunk of the math.

It's trade deficit divided by their exports.

EU: exports 531.6, imports 333.4, deficit 198.2. 198.2/531.6 is 37, close to 39.

Israel: exports 22.2, imports 14.8, deficit 7.4. 7.4/22.2 is 33.



·

 

[qldfrog]

Someone has posted that they have worked out how the Trump regime came to some of the odd figures in the tariff set.
Mick

Maybe but at least in Europe there are serious tax targetting us products
Most hiding under green targets or safety or similar: v8, 4WD , food import forbidden due to:
Chemical growth hormones etc.
I do not say please get hormone chicken or glyphosate corn in but these edicts are purposely targeted
India has very high tariff, we do not allow american beef in Australia ..because of mad cow disease risks, etc, etc
As for China....
Tariffs might be bad but they are a necessity in unfair trading
And trading is rarely fair, even less when nany states policies and netzero craziness are in the loop

 

[Knobby22]

Maybe but at least in Europe there are serious tax targetting us products
Most hiding under green targets or safety or similar: v8, 4WD , food import forbidden due to:
Chemical growth hormones etc.
I do not say please get hormone chicken or glyphosate corn in but these edicts are purposely targeted
India has very high tariff, we do not allow american beef in Australia ..because of mad cow disease risks, etc, etc
As for China....
Tariffs might be bad but they are a necessity in unfair trading
And trading is rarely fair, even less when nany states policies and netzero craziness are in the loop

probably should put this in the economic Trump thread.
The biggest surprise is Taiwan. 32%!!! That will hurt US consumers.

 

[qldfrog]

probably should put this in the economic Trump thread.
The biggest surprise is Taiwan. 32%!!! That will hurt US consumers.

More than Trump actually, this us wirld economy but eas not sure where to put it.
Taipei is weird, not sure if they have high import duties.
Japan was very high but Taiwan?

 

[mullokintyre]

It seems that there are plenty of exemptions to the new Tariff Regime.
The most important:

Other items exempted from the new tariff regime include: