Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

RBA cash rate

So it wasn't Phillip Lowes fault after all, who woulda thunk that, who is Jimbo going to blame now, while everyone gets inflated into the poor house.
The only ones cleaning up are the Govt and the property owners in sydney/ Melbourne, oh that's right they're the same. :roflmao:

Today

May 2022

June 2023
 
Last edited:
My god the ABC is in meltdown, where's Phillip Lowe when you need him, to blame, oh no I didn't mean that. But now it's a woman, what do we do, we can't blame the Govt, we like them, OMG the confusion is horrendous.
We will put in a bit about we expect rates cuts soon, that should help. :roflmao: :roflmao: :roflmao: :roflmao:
Let's be honest, long term averages on rates are around 5-7% everything usually goes back to long term average, so nothing out of the ordinary yet. :xyxthumbs
IMO the Govt is trying to balance a soft landing on currency, with a soft landing on inflation, time will tell which one hits hard.
The fact that the dollar went down, when interest rates went up, tells us the market has maybe decided.
Hopefully the market does, what the Govt isn't prepared to do, sort our $hit out.

 
Last edited:
My god the ABC is in meltdown, where's Phillip Lowe when you need him, to blame, oh no I didn't mean that. But now it's a woman, what do we do, we can't blame the Govt, we like them, OMG the confusion is horrendous.
We will put in a bit about we expect rates cuts soon, that should help. :roflmao: :roflmao: :roflmao: :roflmao:
Let's be honest, long term averages on rates are around 5-7% everything usually goes back to long term average, so nothing out of the ordinary yet. :xyxthumbs
IMO the Govt is trying to balance a soft landing on currency, with a soft landing on inflation, time will tell which one hits hard.
The fact that the dollar went down, when interest rates went up, tells us the market has maybe decided.
Hopefully the market does, what the Govt isn't prepared to do, sort our $hit out.

So once again those sitting in the shifting sands of Struggle Street will no doubt be tightening the belt another notch and hoping for the best, knowing that the only light in the tunnel is that train acoming at full speed ahead.
 
So once again those sitting in the shifting sands of Struggle Street will no doubt be tightening the belt another notch and hoping for the best, knowing that the only light in the tunnel is that train acoming at full speed ahead.
No those at the bottom of the tree, have less distance to fall.
That is what the elites don't realise, unfortunately, history repeats. :xyxthumbs

We are a small fish in a big pond, it is very easy for the big money to empty the pond, just ask Allan Bond or Christopher Skase, or John Spalvin.

 
So it wasn't Phillip Lowes fault after all, who woulda thunk that, who is Jimbo going to blame now, while everyone gets inflated into the poor house.
The only ones cleaning up are the Govt and the property owners in sydney/ Melbourne, oh that's right they're the same. :roflmao:

Today

May 2022

June 2023
Ah now it's stubborn inflation, oh well that's good now we don't have to sack Michele Bullock, that's good it wouldn't have looked good. :roflmao:

Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock signalled that Tuesday’s interest rate rise – the first in five months – might not be the last as she conceded inflation had remained higher and more persistent than the central bank expected.
The RBA ratcheted up the official cash rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 4.35 per cent, the 13th increase since the bank started lifting rates in May last year.
 
1699390952218.png
So the question is, have we peaked?
I would be a bit surprised if they increased in December again, there is no meeting in January, so the next decision will likely be in February.
I am betting that be then, a slowdown will be evident, that then becomes more serious until they do the first rate cut.
So yes, I reckon we have peaked.
Mick
 
just in case you've missed it, RBA now has 2-day meetings, but only 9 times a year ... and not this coming Tuesday

2024 Reserve Bank Board meetings
  • 5–6 February.
  • 18–19 March.
  • 6–7 May.
  • 17–18 June.
  • 5–6 August.
  • 23–24 September.
  • 4–5 November.
  • 9–10 December
 
Geez, what are we going to talk about now ...
Mick
Interest rate futures traders expect Australia’s cash rate to fall 40 basis points to 3.95 per cent by next Christmas, with the Reserve Bank forecasting inflation around 3.5 per cent by the end of 2024 and just under 3 per cent by the end of 2025
.
radio silence till the next reset ?
 
Top